I just had a chance to pull my head above water and spend some time putting some thoughts down after looking at my AI posts from 3 years ago. It’s amazing what has evolved since then and provides a framework to think about what comes next.
The posts in question are related to coding https://numbersandcode.wordpress.com/2022/12/16/coding-kaprekars-constant-using-chatgpt/, and image and video generation https://numbersandcode.wordpress.com/2022/06/22/dall-e/
One recurring theme when writing these articles is that there’ll always be a phrase, “unless you’ve been living under a rock” or “unless you’ve been a hermit” because every week some AI subject goes viral. So unless you’ve been sleeping for the past 20 years like Rip Van Winkle, you would know about…
Cursor from Anysphere and other coding apps like Windsurf, Factory, Devin from Cognition Labs, Lovable, Replit, Bolt…the list goes on and on, not to mention their valuations ( Cursor – $9B https://techcrunch.com/2025/06/05/cursors-anysphere-nabs-9-9b-valuation-soars-past-500m-arr/ and Windsurf – bought by OpenAI for $3B )
Three years ago I was cutting and pasting code between the editor and ChatGPT. Now it’s built into the IDE or in the case of Replit and Lovable, everything is done online. The stack has compressed and with the current trends around agents and reasoning models, what’s preventing whole workflows and systems from being reproduced from a prompt? In the future, you could just have an idea and prompt a product into existence, complete with market research and GTM strategy, not to mention the implementation and product documentation in between.
…and unless you’re sleeping beauty, you would know about
Veo3. Google’s new video generation model that’s been taking the internet by storm with numerous examples here and here. The improvements here are more dramatic – whereas code generation and putting together an algorithm was achievable, stringing videos together to make a believable ad wasn’t remotely possible three years ago. Now anyone can make movies, shorts, ads, and scenarios, and personalize them, possibly in realtime.
By now you would’ve figured out the framework needed to think about what could happen in the next 3 years. It’s compression and expansion – the collapse of the tech stack, workflows, functions, and organizations that are familiar in your world, and it’s ability to help you expand your reach beyond your perception.